Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.073731 1.291517 1.566002 1.947071 2.479309 3.225124 4.408834
2026-01-11 0.777045 1.017358 1.363990 1.933979 2.928555 4.802675 9.395779
2026-01-18 0.615042 0.846386 1.208766 1.875493 3.247129 6.584767 19.891001
2026-01-25 0.528342 0.755741 1.136174 1.906003 3.750375 9.651277 58.445208
2026-02-01 0.473671 0.700016 1.100844 1.985332 4.449200 15.291340 440.842990
2026-02-08 0.422913 0.639356 1.038422 1.977333 4.927003 22.477659 NaN
2026-02-15 0.378211 0.581053 0.966040 1.915948 5.196431 30.988429 NaN
2026-02-22 0.353537 0.554418 0.950245 1.990898 6.102287 58.751716 NaN
2026-03-01 0.327746 0.521660 0.914393 1.997652 6.768990 109.340121 NaN
2026-03-08 0.301890 0.485344 0.863908 1.943594 7.094541 189.550335 NaN
2026-03-15 0.281751 0.457697 0.827935 1.922182 7.629399 446.115536 NaN
2026-03-22 0.274212 0.453847 0.845522 2.082951 9.806811 149160.380778 NaN
2026-03-29 0.262536 0.440607 0.839424 2.166688 11.826786 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.247909 0.419737 0.811216 2.159167 13.089016 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.232474 0.395678 0.771355 2.092041 13.568292 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.222643 0.382571 0.757678 2.128105 15.767098 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.215673 0.374881 0.756930 2.221411 19.755878 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.205940 0.360230 0.735185 2.212006 22.015033 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.195178 0.342447 0.702542 2.139847 22.569016 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.189983 0.336630 0.702412 2.227979 28.880737 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.182967 0.326117 0.687486 2.235933 33.334181 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.174680 0.312117 0.660826 2.172325 34.492653 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.167962 0.301277 0.642217 2.147167 37.837710 NaN NaN